Friday, 13 February 2015

Pound steady at 1.3485 versus euro, although Europe grows faster


by Sam Hewitt

Sterling has held its ground versus the euro today, standing close to 1.3485 throughout the day, just half a cent from its highest in 7 years, or since December 21st 2008. This is in spite of the fact that the Eurozone economy, and Germany’s especially, expanded more than expected in the last three months of 2014.

The pound has held firm versus the euro today, although the common currency bloc grew +0.3% in Q4, says official statistics body Eurostat, more than the +0.2% forecast. In particular, Germany’s economic growth exceeded even the most optimistic forecasts, hitting +0.7% between October and December. According to UniCredit Chief Economist Andreas Rees, this may reflect “consumers spending more because of lower energy costs, record-high employment and rising wages.”

Sterling hasn’t weakened versus the euro today however, in spite of this upbeat economic news from the continent. This may reflect the continuing uncertainty about Greece’s future in the eurozone, overshadowing the Eurozone’s unexpected economic momentum. Right now for instance, just two weeks remain before Greece must receive a €7bn bailout tranche, without which it will go bankrupt, and will almost certainly be forced out of the Eurozone. With this worry, it’s hence no surprise that sterling retains the upper hand versus the euro.